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№ 3/2012
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
European integration as a multi-system institute of development: advantages and limits of efficiency
Ekon. teor. 2012; 3:0-0 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The author investigates the basic flows of the bank’s liquid funds with the use of methods of systemic dynamics, which allows to reveal the following fundamental regularities : dynamics of the level of liquid funds caused by the bank’s deposit and credit activities is oscillatory and a superposition of two components equilibrium trajectory and oscillatory unction, which reflects the liquidity’s fluctuations relative to that trajectory. Thus, there exist cyclical fluctuations of liquidity, which are endogenous and related to the bank’s fundamental function. The article reveals regularities, which define the fluctuations' phase frequency and amplitude. The results obtained may be useful not only to forecast liquid risks of a particular bank, but also to study the conditions of destructive synchronizations in the banking system, which provoke systemic crises.
Keywords:
Article in Russian (pp. 85 - 97) | Download | Downloads :300 |
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 85 - 97) | Download | Downloads :300 |
REFERENCES ▼
№ 4/2015
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Policy and prospects of smoothing regional employment disparities in European union
Ekon. teor. 2015; 4:0-0 |
ABSTRACT ▼
With the use of analytical tools, the author describes inter-country differences in the parameters re-flecting growth in employment and labor markets in the EU countries in 2008-2015. She outlines the approaches used in today's EU policies that contribute to smoothing such differences and defines the factors that hinder the process. The article provides an assessment of potential effectiveness of the measures taken by the European Union in the framework of such policy.
Keywords:employment, EU employment policy, regional disparity, social policy.
JEL: F150, J230, J680
Article in Russian (pp. 108 - 115) | Download | Downloads :293 |
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 108 - 115) | Download | Downloads :315 |
REFERENCES ▼
Deriglazova L.V. (2012) Modernizacija evropejskoj social'noj modeli v uslovijah krizisa. Vestnik Tomskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. № 1 (17). S. 64–74.
MOT (2013) Zanjatost', rost i social'naja spravedlivost': Doklad.
Potjomkina O. (red.) Evropejskij Sojuz v HHІ veke: vremja ispytanij. M.: Ves' Mir.
Busch K. (2013) Euro Crisis, Austerity Policy and the European Social Model. Berlin, Friedrich Ebert Stiftung.
EASPD (2013) Briefing Paper. The Social Investment Package.
European Commission (2013) EaSI – New EU Umbrella Programme for Employment and Social Policy.
European Commission (2014) The Crisis and its Impact on Unemployed People in Europe. Qualitative Survey in Seven EU Member States: Final report.
European Commission (2015) Statistical Annex on European Economy. Spring 2015.
ILO. Report (2015) An Employment-Oriented Investment Strategy for Europe.
Leitner S., Stehrer R. (2014) Labour Market Transitions of Young People during the Economic Crisis. WIIW Working Paper No. 109. November.
Varga J. (2015) How to Achieve Complementarity between Economic and Social Cohesion in the Labour Market? Policy Note. GRINCOH Working Papers WP4. February.
№ 4/2016
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Modern policy of the European Union in the context of social justice
Ekon. teor. 2016; 4:51-64 | https://doi.org/10.15407/etet2016.04.051 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The article studies the application of the social justice principle in the EU’ state regulation system, and characterizes the current social justice indicators for the European Union countries are provided. The author analyses the current EU’ approaches to strengthening social justice in European social development.
Keywords:social justice, state governance, social policy, European Union.
JEL: А 130, D 630, Н 530, І 390.
Article in Russian (pp. 51 - 64) | Download | Downloads :467 |
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 51 - 64) | Download | Downloads :405 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Veber, A.B. (2015). Equity and Development. Svobodnaja mysl' – Free Thought, 5, 95-108 [in Russian].
3. Heyets, V.M., Hrytsenko, A.A. (2012). Political economy and institutional framework of justice and sustainable socio-economic development. Yevropeiskyi vektor ekonomichnoho rozvytku – European vector of economic development, 2 (13), 41-46. [in Ukrainian].
4. Grigor'eva, N.S. (2008). Social justice: Evolution of concepts and practices. Problemnyj analiz i gosudarstvenno-upravlencheskoe proektirovanie – Problem analysis and public-management design, 6:1, 112-122 [in Russian].
5. World Development Report 2006. (2006). Justice and Development. Moscow: Ves' Mir [in Russian].
6. International Labor Office (2013). Employment, growth and social justice. Oslo [in Russian].
7. International Labor Office (2011). A new era of social justice. Geneva [in Russian].
8. International Labor Office (2010). Employment policies for social justice and a fair globalization. Geneva: International Labor Conference [in Russian].
9. Kargalova, M.V. (Ed.). (2011). Social Europe in the twenty-first century. Moscow: Ves' Mir [in Russian].
10. Rinaldi, D. (Ed.). (2016). A New Start for Social Europe. Jacques Delors Institute. Paris.
11. European Commission (2016). Creating More Equal Societies – What Works? Evidence Review.
12. Mestrum, F. (2015). The Social Commons: Rethinking Social Justice in Post-Neoliberal Societies. Brussel: Global Social Justice.
13. Mlachila, M. et al. (2015, June). A Quest for Quality. Finance & Development, 52:2, 14-17.
14. European Commission (2016). Social Community Teams against Poverty. Synthesis Report.
15. United Nations (2006). Social Justice in an Open World: The Role of the United Nations. New York.
16. Bertelsmann, S. (2015). Social Justice in the EU – Index Report 2015. Social Inclusion Monitor Europe. Gutersloh.
17. Vandenbroucke, F. (2014). A European Social Union: 10 Tough Nuts to Crack. Report for 'Friends of Europe' High-Level Group. Brussels: EIB Institute.
18. Vandenbroucke, F. et al. (2014). A European Social Union: Key Questions to Answer. In D. Natali. (Ed.). Social developments in the European Union 2013. Fifteenth annual report. Brussels: European Trade Union Institute, European Social Observatory.
19. Van Hecke, S. et al. (2016). A Social Compact for a Social Union: A Political and Legal Window of Opportunity? In E. Stetter, K. Duffek, A. Skrzypek (Eds.) Delivering Empowered Welfare Societies. Brussels: Foundation for European Progressive Studies.
№ 2/2017
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Renewal of the EU social dimension: causes, EU approaches and guidelines for Ukraine
Ekon. teor. 2017; 2:69-83 | https://doi.org/10.15407/etet2017.02.069 |
ABSTRACT ▼
Highlighted and described the main causes and characteristics of the transformation of the EU social space. Characterized the latest EU policy approaches aimed at creating a new social dimension of Europe. Outlined the guidelines for Ukraine's public policy as to the European integration in the social sphere.
Keywords: social dimension, social policy, the European Union, the European integration of Ukraine
JEL: А 130, D 630, Н 530, І 390.
Article in Russian (pp. 69 - 83) | Download | Downloads :468 |
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 69 - 83) | Download | Downloads :432 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Artemova, T.I. (2016). The relationship of social reproduction in Ukraine in the context of the transformation of public administration models. Ekon. teor. – Economic theory, 3, 5-17 [in Russian].
3. Kvashnin, Ju.D. (Ed.). (2016). Social state in the EU countries: past and present. Moscow: IMJeMO RAN [in Russian].
4. Nosovich, A. (2017). Europe does not need dependents from the East. Jekspert – Expert, 7 (1017), 57-61 [in Russian].
5. Ochkina, A. (2014). New social state as a model of post-crisis development. Logos – Logos, 2, 181-214 [in Russian].
6. Chernega, V. (2015). Cacophony instead of a "European concert". Rossija v global'noj politike – Russia in global politics, 2, 55-69 [in Russian].
7. Heyets, V.M., Ostashko, T.O. (Eds). (2016). Implementation of the Association Agreement between Ukraine and the EU: Economic Challenges and New Opportunities. Institute for economics and forecasting, NAS of Ukraine. Kyiv [in Ukrainian].
8. Darvas, Z., Wolff, G. (2014, April). Europe’s Social Problem and its Implications for Economic Growth. Bruegel Policy Brief, 4.
9. Diamond, P. (2016). Towards Equity and Growth in European Welfare Societies: The Predistribution Agenda. In Stetter, E., Duffek, K., Skrzypek, A. (Eds). Delivering Empowered Welfare Societies, p. 348-368. Foundation for European Progressive Studies, Renner Institute.
10. Hermann, C., Mahnkopf, B. (2010). The Past and Future of the European Social Model. Institute for International Political Economy Berlin, Working Paper, 5.
11. Milotay, N. (2016, September). European Pillar of Social Rights for a more social Europe. European Parliamentary Research Service.
12. Tanner, M. (2013). Europe’s Crisis and the Welfare State. Cato Journal, 33: 2 (Spring/Summer), 187-191.
13. Palmer, T.G. (2012). The Tragedy of the Welfare State. In Palmer, T.G. (Ed.). After the Welfare State. Politicians Stole Your Future … You Can Get It Back, p. 5-14. Ottawa: Jameson Books, Inc.
14. Rinaldi, D. (Ed.). (2016). A New Start for Social Europe. Paris: Jacques Delors Institute.
15. Vaughan-Whitehead, D. (2014). Is Europe Losing Its Soul? The European Social Model in Times of Crisis. In The European Social Model in Times of Economic Crisis and Austerity Policies, p. 9-65. International Labour Organization.
16. European Commission (2017, March). White Paper on the future of Europe. Reflections and scenarios for the EU27 by 2025.
17. European Commission (2017). Reflection Paper on the Social Dimension of Europe.
18. European Commission (2017, April 26). Establishing a European Pillar of Social Rights. Commission Staff Working Document SWD (2017) 201 final. Brussels.
19. European Economic and Social Committee (2017). The investment plan and the Social Pillar: a step towards a new strategy for Europe. Study.
20. International Labour Organisation (2016). Building a social pillar for European convergence. Geneva.
№ 3/2018
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Risks of the emergence of divergence trap in the process of Ukraine's eurointegration
Ekon. teor. 2018; 3:99-119 | https://doi.org/10.15407/etet2018.03.099 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The article characterizes the current dynamics of social and economic development of Ukraine in the process of its European integration based on the Association Agreement with the European Union, signed in 2014. The author highlights the key role of the convergence mechanism in restoring sustainable economic growth, increasing the citizens’ well-being, as well as strengthening the integration processes in the European Union and EU international competitiveness. Provided a comparative assessment of the development of Ukraine and selected EU countries by GDP per capita; as well as the sizes of household welfare and national welfare per capita. The author emphasizes the tendency of divergence of the social and economic systems between the European Union and Ukraine, which has been increasingly strengthened in recent years. That tendency is expressed in terms of population welfare and labor productivity. The institutional phenomenon of divergence trap arising from the synthesis of poverty traps and non-convergence is described.
The author characterizes the risks of Ukraine’s getting into a divergence trap related to the action of such key domestic factors as: Ukraine's adoption, in 2015, of the conditions for restructuring part of the national debt, which significantly limits this country’s economic growth; the unacceptably low capitalization of the national economy in the context of convergence; the galloping labor migration from Ukraine, which causes significant losses of the domestic potential of GDP growth; the insignificant share of innovative technological factor in Ukraine’s macroeconomic development. The author notes the necessity of constructing econometric models for quantitative assessment of socio-economic convergence (divergence) between Ukraine and the European Union. The results of such models could be the development of appropriate recommendations as to the government regulation aimed at determining and effective implementation of mechanisms for Ukraine to exit the divergence trap.
Keywords: convergence, developmental risks, divergence trap, European integration of Ukraine, EU
JEL: А 130, D 630, І 310, І 390
Article in Russian (pp. 99 - 119) | Download | Downloads :904 |
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 99 - 119) | Download | Downloads :464 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Burlaj, T. (2015). Risks of forming a model of an asocial state in Ukraine. Jekonomika Ukrainy – Economy of Ukraine, 6, 92-97 [in Russian].
3. Dabla-Norris, E., Kochhar, K., Tsunta, E. (2015, June 15). The secret weapon of growth is the poor and middle class. The basic IMF blog page. Retrieved from www.imf.org/external/russian/np/blog/ 2015/061515r.pdf [in Russian].
4. Lipovska, N. (2017). Institutional transplantation as a factor in the disintegration of the European Union. Actual problems of European integration and Euro-Atlantic cooperation of Ukraine: materials 14th region. science-practice conf. (May 18, 2017, the city of Dnipro). Dnipro: DRIDU NADU [in Ukrainian].
5. Sydenko, V.R. (2018). Global structural transformations and trends in the economy of Ukraine. Part 1. Key trends of structural objects in their economic economies in Ukraine. Ekon. prognozuvannâ – Economy and forecasting, 1, 37-57 [in Ukrainian].
6. Skripnichenko, M.I., Yatsenko, G.Yu. (2018). Instrumental analysis of GDP growth in Ukraine. Ekon. prognozuvannâ – Economy and forecasting, 1, 58-78 [in Ukrainian].
7. Unkovskaya, T. (2016, February 19-26). How Ukraine break out of the poverty trap. Zerkalo nedeli – The mirror of the week, 1081. Retrieved from zn.ua/macrolevel/kak-ukraine-vyrvatsya-iz-lovushki-bednosti-_.html [in Russian].
8. Chepel, S.V., Bondarenko, K.A. (2015). Is external labor migration a factor of economic growth? Econometric analysis and conclusions for the CIS countries. Zhurnal Novoj jekonomicheskoj associacii – Journal of New Economic Association, 4:28, 142-166 [in Russian].
9. Shumska, S.S. (2017). Prospects for the growth of the economy of Ukraine on the background of global trends. Ekon. prognozuvannâ – Economy and forecasting, 3, 7-30 [in Ukrainian].
10. Institutional architectonics and dynamics of economic transformations (2008). Ed. A.A. Gritsenko. Kyiv: Fort [in Russian].
11. National Bank of Ukraine (2018). Recalculation of data on private money transfers to Ukraine for 2015-2017 years [in Ukrainian].
12. Non-economic priorities of modernization in Ukraine taking into account the integration experience of the countries of Central and Eastern Europe (2015). Naukova dopovid. National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Institute of Economics and Prognosis of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine [in Ukrainian].
13. United Nations Economic and Social Council (2000). World Economic and Social Survey 2000. No. E / 2000/50 / Rev.1 [in Russian].
14. Aghion, Ph., Bircan, C. (2017). The Middle Income Trap from a Schumpeterian Perspective. Institute of Global Affairs at the London School of Economics (LSE) Research Paper Series, 1, 17. doi: https://doi.org/10.22617/WPS179029-2">doi.org/10.22617/WPS179029-2">https://doi.org/10.22617/WPS179029-2
15. Bokosi, F.K. (2018). The Low-Income Trap. Urgent steps are needed to end the cycle of poverty and debt. Finance & Development, 55:1, 16-17.
16. Derviş, K. (September 2012). World Economy: Convergence, Interdependence, and Divergence. Finance & Development, 49:3, 10-14.
17. Forgo, B., Jevčák, A. (July 2015). Economic Convergence of Central and Eastern European EU Member States over the Last Decade (2004-2014). European Economy Discussion Paper, 001, 31.
18. Gräbner, C., Heimberger, Ph., Kapeller, J., Schütz, B. (September 2017). Is Europe Disintegrating? Macroeconomic Divergence, Structural Polarisation, Trade and Fragility. The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies Working Paper, 136, 23.
19. Ito, T. (2017). Growth Convergence and the Middle-Income Trap, Asian Development Review, 34: 1, 1-27. doi: https://doi.org/10.1162/ADEV_a_00079">doi.org/10.1162/ADEV_a_00079">https://doi.org/10.1162/ADEV_a_00079
20. Holland, D., Fic, T., Rincon-Aznar, A., Stokes, L., Paluchowski, P. (August 2011). Labour mobility within the EU – The impact of enlargement and transitional arrangements. National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Paper, 379, 71.
21. Rodrik, D. (2011). The future of economic convergence. Harvard Kennedy School (HKS) Faculty Research Working Paper Series, No. RWP11-033. doi: https://doi.org/10.3386/w17400">doi.org/10.3386/w17400">https://doi.org/10.3386/w17400
22. Credit Suisse Research Institute (2017). Global Wealth Databook.
23. European Commission (2017, 25 March). The Rome Declaration: Declaration of the leaders of 27 member states and of the European Council, the European Parliament and the European Commission.
24. Eurofound (2018). Statutory minimum wage in the EU - 2018: First findings.
25. United Nations (2017). World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, Key Findings and Advance.
26. UNDP (2015). Millennium Development Goals Ukraine: 2000-2015.
27. World Bank Group (2017). Ukraine systematic country diagnostic: Toward sustainable recovery and shared prosperity. Report. No. 114826-UA. doi: https://doi.org/10.1596/27148">doi.org/10.1596/27148">https://doi.org/10.1596/27148
28. World Bank (2018). Growing United: Upgrading Europe’s convergence machine.
29. World Bank (2018). The Changing Wealth of Nations 2018: Building a Sustainable Future. 234 pp.
30. World Bank (2018). Crony capitalism in Ukraine: impact on economic outcomes. 18 pp. Retrieved from documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/435491521811321988/%D0%9A%D1%83%D0%BC%D1%96%D0%B2%D1%81%D1%8C%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9-%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%BF%D1%96%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%96%D0%B7%D0%BC-%D0%B2-%D0%A3%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%97%D0%BD%D1%96-%D0%B5%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BC%D1%96%D1%87%D0%BD%D1%96-%D0%BD%D0%B0%D1%81%D0%BB%D1%96%D0%B4%D0%BA%D0%B8 [in Ukrainian].
№ 4/2018
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Topic 38. International economic integration and European integration and convergence processes
Ekon. teor. 2018; 4:93-111 |
ABSTRACT ▼
-
Keywords:-
JEL: А 220, А230, F 020, F 150, O 520
Article in Russian (pp. 93 - 111) | Download | Downloads :371 |
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 93 - 111) | Download | Downloads :388 |
REFERENCES ▼
№ 3/2020
GRYTSENKO Andrii Andriyovych1, BURLAI Tetiana V.2
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
2Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
The impact of digitalization on social development
Ekon. teor. 2020; 3:24-51 | https://doi.org/10.15407/etet2020.03.024 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The article shows the place of digitalization in the natural transition from the in-dustrial-market to the information-network economy. The authors clarify the struc-ture of relations that determine the mechanism of interaction of technical and technological processes of digitalization and socio-economic relations, and note the complexity of the reflexive interaction of the technical, technological and so-cio-economic components of societal development. The objective foundations and modern features of the processes of dissemination of information, communi-cation and digital technologies, manifested at the societal level, are revealed. The dualistic nature of digitalization development is revealed: the introduction of the latest technologies not only opens up additional opportunities for business, gov-ernments and people, but also generates significant problems, challenges and risks, forming the so-called "digital gap". It is emphasized that in the social di-mension, the most characteristic of such gaps is the difference in opportunities for access to digital technologies, which potentially leads to unfair distribution of benefits and increased inequality in society. The main social risks caused by the processes of digitalization at the micro and macro levels are identified. The dy-namics of digitalization processes and their impact on social development in a global and national context are comprehensively characterized. Shown various national management strategies, formulated as responses to the challenges of digital development and with a focus on minimizing the social risks associated with them. The modern approaches of the European Union to regulating the im-pact of digitalization on social development and employment are revealed, includ-ing those related to the adoption in 2010 of the Digital Agenda for Europe, the construction of the European Digital Single Market and the implementation of the European Gigabit Society Strategy until 2025. Proposed a few corrections in the mechanisms of Ukraine’s national policy regarding the anticipation and regulation of the social consequences of digitalization, in particular, in the context of the Strategy for the digital transformation of the social sphere of Ukraine presented in September 2020.
Keywords:information-network economy, digitalization, social development, social risks, government policy
JEL: А130, I310, O110, O290
Article in Russian (pp. 24 - 51) | Download | Downloads :456 |
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 24 - 51) | Download | Downloads :482 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Akatkin, Ju. M., Jasinovskaja, E. D. (2019). Digital Transformation of Public Administration: Datacentricity and Semantic Interoperability. Moscow: Lenand [in Russian].
3. World Bank (2019). World Development Report 2019: The Changing Nature of Work. Washington, DC [in Russian].
4. United Nations (June 2020). Report of the Secretary-General Roadmap for Digital Cooperation [in Russian].
5. Hrytsenko, A. A. (2018). Digital development: structure, capitalization and socialization. Ekon. teor. - Economic theory, 4, 5-20. doi.org/10.15407/etet2018.04.005 [in Ukrainian].
6. Kolot, A., Herasymenko, O. (2020). The sphere of work in the conditions of the global socio-economic reality 2020: challenges for Ukraine. Kyiv: Fond im. Fridrikha Eberta [in Ukrainian].
7. Koh, L.V., Koh, Ju.V. (2019). Analysis of existing approaches to measuring the digital economy. Nauchno-tehnicheskie vedomosti SPbGPU. Jekonomicheskie nauki - Scientific and technical statements of SPbSPU. Economic sciences, 12: 4, 78-89 [in Russian].
8. Maxton, G., Randers, J. (2017). In search of prosperity. Managing economic development to reduce unemployment, inequality and climate change. Kyiv: Pabulum [in Ukrainian].
9. Malkov, S. Ju. (2018). On the risks of the information society. Informacionnoe obshhestvo - Information society, 2, 19-24 [in Russian].
10. International Labour Office (2019). Work for a brighter future - Global Commission on the Future of Work. Geneva: ILO [in Russian].
11. International Labour Organization (2018). Work on Digital Labour Platforms in Ukraine: Issues and Policy Perspectives [in Ukrainian].
12. O'Nil, K. (2020). BIG DATA. Weapons of mathematical destruction. How big data increases inequality and threatens democracy. Kyiv: Fors Ukraina [in Ukrainian].
13. Osipov, G. S. (2001). Artificial Intelligence: State of Research and a Few Words on the Future. Novosti iskusstvennogo intellekta - Artificial Intelligence News, 1, 3-13 [in Russian].
14. Sadovaja, E. S. (2018). The digital economy and the new labor market paradigm. Mirovaja jekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnoshenija - World economy and international relations, 62, 12, 35-45. doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2018-62-12-35-45 [in Russian].
15. Uemura, N. (2017, August 11). Strategy "Society 5.0". Izvestija - News, 148 (29886) [in Russian].
16. Khandii, O. O. (2019). Social resources of economic development: levers of state regulation. Institute for the Ekonomy of Industry, NAS of Ukraine. Kyiv [in Ukrainian].
17. Shamileva, L. L., Khandii, O. O. (2019). The concept of PJSC-analysis of risk identification in the field of social and labor relations in terms of digitalization of the economy. The sphere of employment and income in the digital economy: regulatory mechanisms, challenges and dominants of development: Coll. thesis add. participants international scientific-practical conf., Oct. 23-24, 2019 (p. 56-58). Kyiv: KNEU [in Ukrainian].
18. European Commission (2014). The Digital Agenda Toolbox.
19. European Commission (2019, April). Report of the High-Level Expert Group on the Impact of the Digital Transformation on EU Labour Markets.
20. European Commission (2019, August). Connectivity for a European Gigabit Society.
21. European Commission (2020, June). Digital Economy and Society Index (DESI) 2020. Thematic chapters.
22. Greenfield, A. (2017). Radical Technologies: The Design of Everyday Life. London-New York: VERSO.
23. Hauben, H., Lenaerts, K., Kraatz, S. (2020, June). Platform economy and precarious work: Mitigating risks. Directorate-General for Internal Policies of the European Parliament.
24. ITU (2019). Measuring Digital Development: Facts and figures 2019. International Telecommunication Union (ITU).
25. McKinsey Global Institute (2019, February). Notes from the AI frontier: Tackling Europe's gap in digital and AI. Discussion Paper.
26. McKinsey & Company, European Commission (2020, February). Shaping the digital transformation in Europe. Working paper: Economic potential.
27. Quaglio, G., Millar, S. (2020, May). Potentially Negative Effects of Internet Use. Panel for the Future of Science and Technology, European Parliamentary Research Service.
28. Ramírez-Djumena, N. (2016, September). Picture This: Digital Divide. Finance & Development.
29. UNCTAD (October 2017). Information Economy Report 2017: Digitalization, Trade and Development.
30. UNCTAD (2018). Technology and Innovation Report 2018: Harnessing Frontier Technologies for Sustainable Development.
31. UNCTAD (2019, May). Digital development: Opportunities and challenges.
32. UNCTAD (2019, July). Digital Economy Report 2019. Value Creation and Capture: Implications for Developing Countries.
№ 4/2021
KOSTRYTSYA Vasil 1, BURLAI Tetiana V.2
1Association of Employers' Organizations of Ukraine
2Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Employment recovery policy in the post-pandemic period: the international context
Ekon. teor. 2021; 4:73-94 | https://doi.org/10.15407/etet2021.04.073 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The shocking consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic have exacerbated the need to ensure the resilience of societies in the face of new epidemiological challenges. An integral element of the resilience system is the efficiency, balance and sustainability of national labor markets and the employment sector as a whole, which has had a devas-tating effect on the “coronavirus”. The purpose of the study is to identify global post-pandemic destructions in the field of employment, determine the main ways and fac-tors of its recovery, as well as the resource potential of international management structures necessary to accelerate this process. Used statistical and analytical ap-proaches, as well as methods of systemic, comparative and graphical analysis. Ana-lyzed modern international approaches to the formation of employment recovery policy aimed at overcoming the negative consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic for the world of work, public welfare and social justice. The resource potential of new UN and ILO initiatives to stabilize employment and accelerate the pace of its recovery on a global scale has been revealed. The key factors of the global dynamics of employment recovery have been identified, including: anti-malignant vaccination; fiscal stimulus; labor productivity; work migration; the level of development of national social protec-tion systems and labor market institutions, digitalization, as well as involvement of countries in integration processes. The results of the study prove that in the formation of modern state policy aimed at accelerating the post-pandemic recovery of the econ-omy and society, the key factors of employment recovery, as well as the corresponding strategic initiatives of international institutions, should be taken into account
Keywords:COVID-19 effects, "coronacrisis", post-pandemic employment policy, crisis labor mar-kets, factors of employment recovery, international regulation
JEL: F29, H51, J22, I38
Article in Russian (pp. 73 - 94) | Download | Downloads :237 |
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 73 - 94) | Download | Downloads :187 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. World Bank. (2021). Business competition and recovery after the COVID-19 pandemic. Economic Report for the Europe and Central Asia Region [in Russian].
3. Нrytsenko, A., Burlai, T. (2020). The impact of digitalization on social de-velopment. Ekon. teor. – Economic theory, 3, 24-51. Retrieved from etet.org.ua/docs/ET_20_3_24_uk.pdf;
doi.org/10.15407/etet2020.03.024 [in Russian].
4. Duttagupta, R., Pazarbasioglu, C. (Summer 2021). Miles to go. Finansy i razvitie – Finance & Development, 7. Retrieved from www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2021/06/the-future-of-emerging-markets-duttagupta-and-pazarbasioglu.htm
5. ILO (2021). World Social Protection Report 2020-22. Social protection at a crossroads: towards a betterfuture. Summary of the report. 9. Retrieved from www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---ed_protect/---soc_sec/documents/publication/wcms_817581.pdf [in Russian]
6. ILO (June 2021). Global call to action for a human-centred recovery from the COVID-19 crisis that is inclusive, sustainable and resilient. Adopted at the 109th International Labour Conference. Retrieved from www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---ed_norm/---relconf/documents/meetingdocument/wcms_806092.pdf
7. ILO (October 2021). ILO Monitor: COVID-19 and the world of work. Eighth edition. Updated estimates and analysis. Retrieved from www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---dgreports/---dcomm/documents/briefingnote/wcms_824092.pdf
8. Kostrytsia, V. І., Burlay, T. V. (2020). Imbalances and divergence in employment: EU and Ukraine’s approaches to overcome it. Ukrainskyi sotsium – Ukrainian Society, 1(72), 83-107. Retrieved from ukr-socium.org.ua; doi.org/10.15407/socium2020.01.083
9. OECD. (2020). International Migration Outlook 2020. DOI: doi.org/10.1787/ec98f531-en
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№ 3/2022
BURLAI Tetiana V.1, KOSTRYTSYA Vasil 2, BLYZNIUK V. , LEVIN R.
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
2Association of Employers' Organizations of Ukraine
The EU's newest social quality policy: a useful experience for Ukraine's post-war reconstruction
Ekon. teor. 2022; 3:89-119 | https://doi.org/10.15407/etet2022.03.089 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The relevance of adaptation to the conditions of the post-war socio-economic recovery of Ukraine of modern approaches to the social quality policy of the European Union, historically based on the principles of social peace, social equality and justice, social welfare and quality of life of the population, is substantiated. The expediency of such adaptation is shown in connection with the formation in the Ukrainian society, suffering from the full-scale military aggression of the Russian Federation against Ukraine that began on February 24, 2022, a clear demand for a stable post-war life in security, prosperity and social justice. A new conceptual approach to the construction of national systems of social protection and social insurance is characterized, which provides for the formation of social supports necessary for the security of national economies in post-crisis recovery. The content and features of the main approaches of the latest EU policy aimed at improving the parameters of social quality in the development of member countries, striving to achieve the three priority social goals of the European Union for the period up to 2030, are disclosed. In the context of ensuring social quality, such modern institutional components of the current development of the EU as the European Pillar of Social Rights, the new Action Plan for the Social Economy, the Strategy for the Protection of the Rights of People with Disabilities for 2021–2030, the Skills Development Partnership for the Digital Ecosystem, the Directive on adequate minimum wage in the EU, etc. Typical modern approaches to improving the social component of the state anti-crisis policy are described. Taking into account modern European practices of activating social dynamics and proposals of international institutions for the post-war reconstruction of Ukraine, recommendations have been developed regarding specific measures of domestic state policy aimed at ensuring the social quality of life in the period after the end of the war.
Keywords:economic security, European integration, employment, Ukrainian post-war reconstruction, social quality, social development
JEL: F15, I31, I38, J81, J88, O52
Article in Russian (pp. 89 - 119) | Download | Downloads :191 |
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 89 - 119) | Download | Downloads :194 |
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№ 2/2023
GRYTSENKO Andrii Andriyovych1, BURLAI Tetiana V.2, BORZENKO Olena 3
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
2Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
3Institute for Economics and Forecasting of NAS of Ukraine
Societal consequences of modern hybrid warfare: theoretical foundations and institutional dimension
Ekon. teor. 2023; 2:5-28 | https://doi.org/10.15407/etet2023.02.005 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The article reveals the concept of societal in the political-economic discourse, and shows its connection with the relevant philosophical and sociological vision. It is argued that the current Russian-Ukrainian war has clear signs of a modern hybrid war, which is generated by the globallocal hybrid system of "peace – war" and combines a whole range of means, from military-political and economic to cybernetic and cultural and humanitarian ones. Based on the combination of political-economic and sociological discourses in a broad sense, it is substantiated that the main components of the hybrid system "peace – war" from the point of view of the transformation of social relations are: armedmilitary, financial-economic, and informational-spiritual components, which cause a comprehensive impact on people’s worldview, positioning and behav-ior, which leads to significant societal consequences.
The authors give various characteristics of the institutional dimension of the war’s societal consequences. Theoretically, the phenomenon of emergent institutional order is taken as the basis for considering the institutional dimension of the societal consequences caused by the hybrid war. It is revealed that in the martial law conditions, the role of the trust institution is growing (the trust institution is considered as a defining and integral construct of the socio-economic system’s institutional architecture, embod-ied both in trust in the state and power structures, and in trust in new institutions created by the hybrid war (volunteers and various forms of amateur civil movements)).
The authors show that in the context of societal development in the conditions of war shocks and post-war recovery of Ukraine, the quality of institutions and the state’s institutional potential play an extremely important role. Analysis of the societal conse-quences of the Russian Federation’s invasion in Ukraine in the institutional dimension shows the need to overcome the key institutional destructions generated both in the previous period and during the war. Also, it is necessary to create an institutional basis for a new economic model focused on ensuring a combination of Ukrainian effective reconstructive recovery in the post-war period and its full integration into the European Union and the world space.
Keywords:societal system, hybrid threats, institutions, military shocks, reconstructive economic recovery
JEL: E02, F29, H11, N40, O43, P48
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 5 - 28) | Download | Downloads :193 |
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№ 3/2023
HEYETS Valeriy M.1, BURLAI Tetiana V.2, BLYZNIUK V.
1State Organization “Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine”
2Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
SOCIAL RESILIENCE OF THE NATIONAL ECONOMY THROUGH THE PRISM OF THE EXPERIENCE OF THE EUROPEAN UNION AND UKRAINE
Ekon. teor. 2023; 3:5-43 | https://doi.org/10.15407/etet2023.03.005 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The authors deal with the concept of resilience (stress resistance) at the macro level, and reveal its meaning in the societal, economic and social dimensions. It is shown that in the context of the strengthening of global risks and hybrid threats, and the accelerated transformation of the world into a global hybrid "peace-war" system, the priority task of government policy is to ensure the resilience of the national economic system as the ability to maintain functionality and recover after the shock effect of various factors. Based on the logical-historical approach, the authors reveal the stages in the formation of the concept of multidimensional resilience as a strategic basis of modern governance of the European Union. This concept became the basis for the reconfiguration of the EU strategic foresight system in 2020, integrated into the process of forming a Pan-European policy aimed at ensuring an effective transition to a "green", digital and fairer Europe. Within the framework of the European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS), the updated EU strategic foresight system provides for the use of "Resiliency Information Panels" as a new monitoring tool, developed with due regard of the specificity in the development of the participating states. The evaluations of the socio-economic resilience of the European Union for the year 2023, which were obtained with the help of the specified monitoring tool, were analyzed and presented by the European Commission. The authors reveal the role of the concept of multidimensional resilience in the formation and implementation of national recovery and stability plans of the EU states at the current stage. Characterized the legislative innovations of the European Union regarding the resilience of the economies and societies of the participating countries in the conditions of overcoming the shock consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian-Ukrainian war and climate change. The paper substantiates the need to ensure the social resilience of the economic development of Ukraine as a reliable pillar of its support during the war with the Russian Federation, as well as during the post-war reconstruction and reconstruction. The authors prove that the social resilience of Ukraine’s national economy under the conditions of martial law and post-war reconstruction can be presented in the form of a model that structurally contains three sectors, namely: 1) employment and labor potential; 2) solvent consumer demand; and 3) social protection and provision. Each of these sectors is complexly dependent on many factors that characterize the generation of human and social capital, the quality of people's lives, the development of the spheres of employment, social security and social protection of the population, the state of the ecosystem and the institutional environment, etc. Taking into account the EU’s modern approaches, a list of basic and additional indicators is developed for monitoring and analyzing the social resilience of Ukraine’s national economy. The authors provide various practical recommendations on state policy measures aimed at ensuring the social resilience of this country’s economy of Ukraine in the war and post-war period.
Keywords:social resilience, macroeconomic development, hybrid "peace-war" system, post-war reconstruction, European integration
JEL: F52, I19, J21, P36, Z18
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 5 - 43) | Download | Downloads :76 |
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