НА ГОЛОВНУ |
№ 2019/1
1ДУ «Інститут економіки та прогнозування НАН України»
Неоднозначність та неповнота інформації при прогнозуванні рецесій (приклад США)
Ekon. teor. 2019; 1:87-112 | https://doi.org/10.15407/etet2019.01.087 |
АНОТАЦІЯ ▼
Стаття російською мовою (cтор. 87 - 112) | Завантажити | Завантажень : 509 |
Стаття українською мовою (cтор. 87 - 112) | Завантажити | Завантажень : 392 |
СПИСОК ЛІТЕРАТУРИ ▼
1. Бандура О.В. (2016) Загальна модель економічних циклів – модель кумулятивної неефективності ринків. Економічна теорія. №1. С. 86–100. doi: https://doi.org/10.15407/etet2016.01.086">doi.org/10.15407/etet2016.01.086">https://doi.org/10.15407/etet2016.01.086
2. Бандура О.В. (2017) Ефективність монетарної (регуляторної) політики та стале зростання. Економічна теорія. № 1. Р. 38–53.
3. Barkley T. (2008). IMF Raises Global Growth Forecast. The Wall Street Journal, July 18.
4. Barkley T., Hannon P., Chalton E. (April, 2008). IMF Sees U.S. Recession, Slowing Global Growth. The Wall Street Journal.
5. Bater J. (June 11, 2008). Tax Rebates Widen U.S. Deficit. The Wall Street Journal.
6. Bauer M, Martens T. (March 5, 2018b). Economic forecasts with the Yield Curve. FRBSF Economic Letter. № 07. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. URL: www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2018/march/economic-forecasts-with-yield-curve/
7. Bauer, M, Martens T. (August 27, 2018a). Information in the Yield Curve about future recessions. FRBSF Economic Letter. № 20. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. URL: www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2018/august/information-in-yield-curve-about-future-recessions/
8. Chappatta B. (December, 14, 2017). Yellen tells investors not to fear the flattering yield curve. Bloomberg. Market News.
9. Christensen J. (October 15, 2018). The slope of the Yield Curve and near-term outlook. FRBSF Economic Letter. № 23. URL: www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2018/october/slope-of-yield-curve-and-near-term-outlook/
10. Ergungor, E. (2016). Recession probabilities. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Economic Commentary, No 9. P. 6. URL: www.clevelandfed.org/en/newsroom-and-events/publications/economic-commentary/2016-economic-commentaries/ec-201609-recession-probabilities.aspx)
11. Hamilton, J. (July, 2010). Calling recessions in real time. NBER Working Paper. No.16162. P. 51. URL: www.nber.org/papers/w16162
12. Homan T. (January 5, 2010). Krugman Says Economists Damaged by Inability to Foresee Crisis. Bloomberg News.
13. Niemira, M., Klein, P. (1995). Forecasting financial and economic cycles. NY: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., P. 526
14. Reddy S. (June, 26, 2008). Fed Holds Rate Steady as Inflation Worries Rise. The Wall Street Journal.
15. Szyrmer J., Dubrovskiy V., Golodniuk I. (2009) Composite Leading Indicators for Ukraine: An Early Warning Model. CASE Network Reports, № 85. Р. 1-62.
16. Travis, J, Berge, T., Elias, E., Jorda, O. (2011). Future Recession Risks: An Update. Federal Reserve Bank of an Francisco Economic Letter. № 35. P. 1-15.
17. Wheelock D., Wohar M. (September/October, 2009). Can the term spread predict output growth and recessions? A survey of the literature. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Lois Review. № 91(5, Part 1). P. 419–440. doi: https://doi.org/10.20955/r.91.419-440">doi.org/10.20955/r.91.419-440">https://doi.org/10.20955/r.91.419-440
18. Wright, J.H. (2006) The Yield Curve and Predicting Recessions. Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Federal Reserve Board. P. 1–21.
2. Бандура О.В. (2017) Ефективність монетарної (регуляторної) політики та стале зростання. Економічна теорія. № 1. Р. 38–53.
3. Barkley T. (2008). IMF Raises Global Growth Forecast. The Wall Street Journal, July 18.
4. Barkley T., Hannon P., Chalton E. (April, 2008). IMF Sees U.S. Recession, Slowing Global Growth. The Wall Street Journal.
5. Bater J. (June 11, 2008). Tax Rebates Widen U.S. Deficit. The Wall Street Journal.
6. Bauer M, Martens T. (March 5, 2018b). Economic forecasts with the Yield Curve. FRBSF Economic Letter. № 07. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. URL: www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2018/march/economic-forecasts-with-yield-curve/
7. Bauer, M, Martens T. (August 27, 2018a). Information in the Yield Curve about future recessions. FRBSF Economic Letter. № 20. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. URL: www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2018/august/information-in-yield-curve-about-future-recessions/
8. Chappatta B. (December, 14, 2017). Yellen tells investors not to fear the flattering yield curve. Bloomberg. Market News.
9. Christensen J. (October 15, 2018). The slope of the Yield Curve and near-term outlook. FRBSF Economic Letter. № 23. URL: www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2018/october/slope-of-yield-curve-and-near-term-outlook/
10. Ergungor, E. (2016). Recession probabilities. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Economic Commentary, No 9. P. 6. URL: www.clevelandfed.org/en/newsroom-and-events/publications/economic-commentary/2016-economic-commentaries/ec-201609-recession-probabilities.aspx)
11. Hamilton, J. (July, 2010). Calling recessions in real time. NBER Working Paper. No.16162. P. 51. URL: www.nber.org/papers/w16162
12. Homan T. (January 5, 2010). Krugman Says Economists Damaged by Inability to Foresee Crisis. Bloomberg News.
13. Niemira, M., Klein, P. (1995). Forecasting financial and economic cycles. NY: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., P. 526
14. Reddy S. (June, 26, 2008). Fed Holds Rate Steady as Inflation Worries Rise. The Wall Street Journal.
15. Szyrmer J., Dubrovskiy V., Golodniuk I. (2009) Composite Leading Indicators for Ukraine: An Early Warning Model. CASE Network Reports, № 85. Р. 1-62.
16. Travis, J, Berge, T., Elias, E., Jorda, O. (2011). Future Recession Risks: An Update. Federal Reserve Bank of an Francisco Economic Letter. № 35. P. 1-15.
17. Wheelock D., Wohar M. (September/October, 2009). Can the term spread predict output growth and recessions? A survey of the literature. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Lois Review. № 91(5, Part 1). P. 419–440. doi: https://doi.org/10.20955/r.91.419-440">doi.org/10.20955/r.91.419-440">https://doi.org/10.20955/r.91.419-440
18. Wright, J.H. (2006) The Yield Curve and Predicting Recessions. Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Federal Reserve Board. P. 1–21.